Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
UPDATED: June 8, 2023
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Scripted Variety Series
History of the World, Part II — Episode 102 — Judas betrays Jesus; Shirley Chisholm makes a big announcement. General Grant finds himself in trouble and Marco Polo meets Kublai Khan. Jesus (Jay Ellis) and Judas (Nick Kroll), shown. (Photo by: Tyler Golden/Hulu)
HULU
Weekly Commentary: What the hell is a scripted variety series when John Oliver’s biting monologues about the war in Ukraine are competing against Courtroom Kiki, Pedro Pascal playing a Super Mario brother, and Stephen Colbert’s animated quest to “toon out the news?”
A show like Showtime’s “Ziwe,” canceled in April 2023 and fitting what many assume would be the talk show’s mold, has competed alongside the sketch shows for its two previous seasons. Featuring the titular writer, comedian and internet sensation sitting down for viral-making interviews, paired with a mixture of musical numbers and sketches, the 31-year-old host has chosen to submit into the lead comedy actress race, which she’s done in previous Emmy years.
HBO’s “A Black Lady Sketch Show” had another successful fourth season and could benefit if NBC’s “Saturday Night Live” and its HBO counterpart “Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” split the vote. That is if it can get nominated since there will likely be only three shows recognized this year, up from two last year.
Hulu’s “History of the World Part II” has the industry respect of Mel Brooks that could push the Emmy winner to another nom.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Emmy predictions in all categories.
Emmy Nominations voting runs from June 15-26. The Primetime Emmy nominations will be announced on July 12. Check back every Thursday for the latest updates. All information is preliminary and is subject to change.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “History of the World Part II” (Hulu)
- “Inside Amy Schumer” (Paramount+)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “Ziwe” (Showtime)
- “Documentary Now!” (IFC)
- “Stephen Colbert Presents Tooning Out the News”
- “Pause with Sam Jay” (HBO)
- “Sherman’s Showcase” (IFC)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
- “Documentary Now!” (IFC)
- “Sherman’s Showcase” (IFC)
- “A Black Lady Sketch Show” (HBO)
- “History of the World Part II” (Hulu)
- “Inside Amy Schumer” (Paramount+)
- “Last Week Tonight with John Oliver” (HBO)
- “Pause with Sam Jay” (HBO)
- “Random Acts of Flyness” (HBO)
- “Saturday Night Live” (NBC)
- “Stephen Colbert Presents Tooning Out the News”
- “Ziwe” (Showtime)
** This official list and/or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) — Season 48 — Lorne Michaels, executive producer; Javier Winnik, supervising producer; Lindsay Shookus, Erin Doyle, Tom Broecker and Caroline Maroney, producers; Steve Higgins and Erik Kenward, produced by
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.