CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten on Tuesday detailed what he said appears to be a complete collapse in support for Donald Trump among moderate Republicans.
He also busted the president’s overly rosy spin on his current poor polling numbers.
“In a word, yikes. Yikes is the word,” Enten said of a recent CNN/SSRS poll that showed support for Trump among moderate Republicans, who make up 30% to 40% of the party, had gone from +69 percentage points versus then-Democratic rival Kamala Harris in 2024 to +10 points for his net approval rating now.
“Moderate Republicans abandoning Donald John Trump,” said Enten, calling it “a big uh-oh.”
The economy is the main reason, he said, noting that, among moderate Republicans, Trump was in 2024 polling at +80 points compared with Harris but is now just +3 points in net approval on the “key issue that got him elected.”
On Iran, Enten said, Trump’s net approval is at -6 points among that group and on inflation it’s at -17 points.
“If I’m a Republican running for Congress in those swing districts, I need those moderate Republicans, and they are leaving Donald Trump,” Enten said. “They may be leaving those Republican candidates as well.”
In another segment, Enten busted Trump’s claim that his poor polling numbers are fake news and that he’s actually doing really well.
If Trump thinks “his own polls are good, he is, simply put, not on planet Earth, he is on some planet far, far, far away, in a galaxy far, far, far away,”
Enten brought up a chart showing Trump’s gradual decline in net approval ratings overall, from an aggregate of polls, which he said was “like a slide going into the sea.”
It showed Trump in January 2025 at +6, but now at -21.
“This is the lowest he has been in term number two,” said Enten.
“The bottom line is this: Trump is at record lows for himself. In term number two, he is very much underwater, despite whatever he is claiming up in his head of his,” he added.
Enten noted that in the 494 days since March 29, 2025, Trump has “had a negative net approval rating” in all polls CNN has covered.