Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Comedy Series
Apple TV+
Weekly Commentary (Updated: July 10, 2023): In comedy, the list includes new series like FX’s “The Bear,” Apple’s “Shrinking” and Netflix’s “Wednesday.” In addition, farewell seasons are in the midst such as Prime Video’s “The Marvelous Mrs. Maisel,” HBO’s “Barry” and maybe Apple TV+’s “Ted Lasso.” This year’s 95 entries compared to 118 entries last year (which was believed to be a new record), as well as 68 in 2021 and 111 in 2020.
“Ted Lasso” is the reigning champion after two consecutive wins at the Emmys, but ABC’s “Abbott Elementary” and “The Bear” are going to give it a run for their money this time around.
Alongside “Lasso” and “Abbott” are other returning shows celebrating their final seasons — “Barry” and “Maisel.” In addition, other returning nominees in the mix are Hulu’s “Only Murders in the Building” and FX’s “What We Do in the Shadows.”
“Abbott” would be the first broadcast show since “Modern Family” to win at the Emmys, and it would be a nice boost of encouragement with the writers’ strike and impending SAG negotiations underway.
“The Bear” isn’t the only freshman series in the mix. Apple’s “Shrinking” and Netflix’s “Wednesday” are the leading candidates to join the shortlist, with others like Peacock’s “Poker Face” and Freevee’s “Jury Duty” on the bubble hoping to find some love. A potential shocking snub for “Shrinking” is bubbling out in the ether of pundits, and unfortunately, we can see it happening. Hopefully, it won’t ensue.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Shrinking” (Apple TV+)
- “What We Do in the Shadows” (FX)
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “The Great” (Hulu)
- “Atlanta” (FX)
- “Jury Duty” (Freevee)
- “Somebody Somewhere” (HBO)
- “Mo” (Netflix)
- “The Other Two” (HBO)
- “Dead to Me” (Netflix)
- “Schmigadoon!” (Apple TV+)
- “Ghosts” (CBS)
- “Primo” (Freevee)
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Network)**
** This list or category submission is not yet complete or confirmed and is subject to change.
2022 category winner: “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+) — Season 2 — Bill Lawrence, Jason Sudeikis, Brendan Hunt, Joe Kelly, Jeff Ingold, Bill Wrubel (executive producers); Jane Becker, Jamie Lee, Liza Katzer (co-executive producers); Kip Kroeger, Declan Lowney (supervising producers); Leann Bowen, Ashley Nicole Black (producers); Andrew Warren (produced by)
Emmy Awards Predictions Categories
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
Creative Arts and Other Emmy Categories
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes – Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.